確率2%のくじ引きで100万人が当たりを引くまでチャレンジするシミュレーション
だいたい2%くらいの確率でドロップするっぽいGraf Zeppelinのドロップ。けれど実感としては2%なんて嘘だろう? そんなことを思ってしまうくらい苦しんでいるプレイヤーの姿が目について、いくらなんでもしぼりすぎだ、などなど、巷に怨嗟の声がこだましています。
さて、先日書いた確率2%のくじ引きをシミュレートするというスクリプト。今回はそれを少し書き直して、100万人が当たりを引くまで試行するようにしてみました。だいたい総試行回数は5千万回くらいになるようです。
前回、意外や1回目の試行で入手するケースが多い、だなんて驚いていましたが、これは別に不思議でも意外でもない当たり前のことで、2%で当たりが出るくじ引き。1回目のくじ引きで、100万の2%である2万人が当たりを引く。2回目は100万から2万を引くところの、98万の2%、19万6千人が当たりを引く、といった具合に、徐々に減っていくのが当たり前。実際、この記事の末尾に実行結果を載せていますが、それもほぼそのようになっていて、人間の感覚と理屈の乖離というものを実感させられます。
以前、ドロップする確率を入力すると、だいたいどれくらいの回数で、どれくらいの入手見込みがあるかを計算するスクリプトを書いたことがありました。
それによると2%のくじ引きだとこんな結果が出ます。
20% | 12 |
50% | 35 |
80% | 80 |
90% | 114 |
95% | 149 |
98% | 194 |
99% | 228 |
99.999% | 570 |
この目安と今回の実行結果、それを比較してみると、入手したプレイヤーの割り合いが2割を超えるのは、確かに12回試行した時で、50%は35回試行、80%も90%も計算のとおりに出ます。95%は148回試行と1回の差が生じて、99%は229回と今度は1回多くなってしまって、と、このあたりは本当に小さな誤差ですけれど、おそらくは試行回数をもっともっと増やしていくと、計算によって想定される回数にもっともっと近付いていくのでしょう。
さて、今回の結果だけをもって書いてしまいますが、ほぼ5千万回試行。49,915,914回ですが、場合によっては5千万を超えることもあります。これを入手者数100万人で割ると49.9回。ということは、50回くらいで入手するのが平均、標準、普通ってところなのかなと思ったところで、いや、これ、平均じゃなくて中央値を出さないといかんのじゃないか?
とまあ、そう思ったところで、計算する気はないんですけどね。
データはCSVで出力してるので、表計算ソフトに放り込んで計算させたら一発というのは理解してますが、今回はそれをする手間を惜しんでおこうと思います。
# -*- coding: utf-8-unix; mode: python -*- import random result = dict() clg = 0 acquirer = 0 while acquirer < 1000000: cnt = 0 havenot = True while havenot: cnt += 1 clg += 1 if random.randrange(50) == 1: if cnt in result: result[cnt] += 1 else: result[cnt] = 1 acquirer += 1 havenot = False total = 0 for key in range(max(result.keys()) + 1): if key in result: total += result[key] line = '{0:>5}, {1:>5}, {2:.4%}, {3:>7}, {4:.4%}' print(line.format(key, result[key], result[key] / acquirer, total, total / acquirer)) elif key == 0: pass else: print('{0:>5}, 0, 0% , , 0%'.format(key)) print() print('acquirer: {0:,}'.format(acquirer)) print('number of trials: {0:,}'.format(clg))
1, 20242, 2.0242%, 20242, 2.0242% 2, 19680, 1.9680%, 39922, 3.9922% 3, 19444, 1.9444%, 59366, 5.9366% 4, 18773, 1.8773%, 78139, 7.8139% 5, 18517, 1.8517%, 96656, 9.6656% 6, 18002, 1.8002%, 114658, 11.4658% 7, 17604, 1.7604%, 132262, 13.2262% 8, 17234, 1.7234%, 149496, 14.9496% 9, 17084, 1.7084%, 166580, 16.6580% 10, 16763, 1.6763%, 183343, 18.3343% 11, 16334, 1.6334%, 199677, 19.9677% 12, 16092, 1.6092%, 215769, 21.5769% 13, 15718, 1.5718%, 231487, 23.1487% 14, 15469, 1.5469%, 246956, 24.6956% 15, 15049, 1.5049%, 262005, 26.2005% 16, 14906, 1.4906%, 276911, 27.6911% 17, 14334, 1.4334%, 291245, 29.1245% 18, 13969, 1.3969%, 305214, 30.5214% 19, 14082, 1.4082%, 319296, 31.9296% 20, 13646, 1.3646%, 332942, 33.2942% 21, 13379, 1.3379%, 346321, 34.6321% 22, 13122, 1.3122%, 359443, 35.9443% 23, 12687, 1.2687%, 372130, 37.2130% 24, 12644, 1.2644%, 384774, 38.4774% 25, 12275, 1.2275%, 397049, 39.7049% 26, 12191, 1.2191%, 409240, 40.9240% 27, 11940, 1.1940%, 421180, 42.1180% 28, 11541, 1.1541%, 432721, 43.2721% 29, 11328, 1.1328%, 444049, 44.4049% 30, 11159, 1.1159%, 455208, 45.5208% 31, 10890, 1.0890%, 466098, 46.6098% 32, 10662, 1.0662%, 476760, 47.6760% 33, 10271, 1.0271%, 487031, 48.7031% 34, 10161, 1.0161%, 497192, 49.7192% 35, 10241, 1.0241%, 507433, 50.7433% 36, 9793, 0.9793%, 517226, 51.7226% 37, 9554, 0.9554%, 526780, 52.6780% 38, 9395, 0.9395%, 536175, 53.6175% 39, 9221, 0.9221%, 545396, 54.5396% 40, 9002, 0.9002%, 554398, 55.4398% 41, 8804, 0.8804%, 563202, 56.3202% 42, 8821, 0.8821%, 572023, 57.2023% 43, 8518, 0.8518%, 580541, 58.0541% 44, 8319, 0.8319%, 588860, 58.8860% 45, 8144, 0.8144%, 597004, 59.7004% 46, 8168, 0.8168%, 605172, 60.5172% 47, 7775, 0.7775%, 612947, 61.2947% 48, 7792, 0.7792%, 620739, 62.0739% 49, 7637, 0.7637%, 628376, 62.8376% 50, 7601, 0.7601%, 635977, 63.5977% 51, 7300, 0.7300%, 643277, 64.3277% 52, 7264, 0.7264%, 650541, 65.0541% 53, 6997, 0.6997%, 657538, 65.7538% 54, 7022, 0.7022%, 664560, 66.4560% 55, 6883, 0.6883%, 671443, 67.1443% 56, 6564, 0.6564%, 678007, 67.8007% 57, 6567, 0.6567%, 684574, 68.4574% 58, 6382, 0.6382%, 690956, 69.0956% 59, 6237, 0.6237%, 697193, 69.7193% 60, 6154, 0.6154%, 703347, 70.3347% 61, 5881, 0.5881%, 709228, 70.9228% 62, 5680, 0.5680%, 714908, 71.4908% 63, 5661, 0.5661%, 720569, 72.0569% 64, 5545, 0.5545%, 726114, 72.6114% 65, 5420, 0.5420%, 731534, 73.1534% 66, 5352, 0.5352%, 736886, 73.6886% 67, 5205, 0.5205%, 742091, 74.2091% 68, 5105, 0.5105%, 747196, 74.7196% 69, 5094, 0.5094%, 752290, 75.2290% 70, 4921, 0.4921%, 757211, 75.7211% 71, 4926, 0.4926%, 762137, 76.2137% 72, 4892, 0.4892%, 767029, 76.7029% 73, 4648, 0.4648%, 771677, 77.1677% 74, 4509, 0.4509%, 776186, 77.6186% 75, 4558, 0.4558%, 780744, 78.0744% 76, 4456, 0.4456%, 785200, 78.5200% 77, 4198, 0.4198%, 789398, 78.9398% 78, 4202, 0.4202%, 793600, 79.3600% 79, 4050, 0.4050%, 797650, 79.7650% 80, 4130, 0.4130%, 801780, 80.1780% 81, 4016, 0.4016%, 805796, 80.5796% 82, 3910, 0.3910%, 809706, 80.9706% 83, 3713, 0.3713%, 813419, 81.3419% 84, 3847, 0.3847%, 817266, 81.7266% 85, 3615, 0.3615%, 820881, 82.0881% 86, 3569, 0.3569%, 824450, 82.4450% 87, 3572, 0.3572%, 828022, 82.8022% 88, 3397, 0.3397%, 831419, 83.1419% 89, 3453, 0.3453%, 834872, 83.4872% 90, 3355, 0.3355%, 838227, 83.8227% 91, 3212, 0.3212%, 841439, 84.1439% 92, 3140, 0.3140%, 844579, 84.4579% 93, 3119, 0.3119%, 847698, 84.7698% 94, 3032, 0.3032%, 850730, 85.0730% 95, 2981, 0.2981%, 853711, 85.3711% 96, 2917, 0.2917%, 856628, 85.6628% 97, 2909, 0.2909%, 859537, 85.9537% 98, 2850, 0.2850%, 862387, 86.2387% 99, 2694, 0.2694%, 865081, 86.5081% 100, 2787, 0.2787%, 867868, 86.7868% 101, 2591, 0.2591%, 870459, 87.0459% 102, 2648, 0.2648%, 873107, 87.3107% 103, 2578, 0.2578%, 875685, 87.5685% 104, 2382, 0.2382%, 878067, 87.8067% 105, 2489, 0.2489%, 880556, 88.0556% 106, 2381, 0.2381%, 882937, 88.2937% 107, 2381, 0.2381%, 885318, 88.5318% 108, 2322, 0.2322%, 887640, 88.7640% 109, 2356, 0.2356%, 889996, 88.9996% 110, 2138, 0.2138%, 892134, 89.2134% 111, 2183, 0.2183%, 894317, 89.4317% 112, 2053, 0.2053%, 896370, 89.6370% 113, 2117, 0.2117%, 898487, 89.8487% 114, 2064, 0.2064%, 900551, 90.0551% 115, 2040, 0.2040%, 902591, 90.2591% 116, 1944, 0.1944%, 904535, 90.4535% 117, 1855, 0.1855%, 906390, 90.6390% 118, 1877, 0.1877%, 908267, 90.8267% 119, 1867, 0.1867%, 910134, 91.0134% 120, 1873, 0.1873%, 912007, 91.2007% 121, 1744, 0.1744%, 913751, 91.3751% 122, 1729, 0.1729%, 915480, 91.5480% 123, 1664, 0.1664%, 917144, 91.7144% 124, 1663, 0.1663%, 918807, 91.8807% 125, 1667, 0.1667%, 920474, 92.0474% 126, 1625, 0.1625%, 922099, 92.2099% 127, 1530, 0.1530%, 923629, 92.3629% 128, 1592, 0.1592%, 925221, 92.5221% 129, 1477, 0.1477%, 926698, 92.6698% 130, 1463, 0.1463%, 928161, 92.8161% 131, 1441, 0.1441%, 929602, 92.9602% 132, 1434, 0.1434%, 931036, 93.1036% 133, 1387, 0.1387%, 932423, 93.2423% 134, 1371, 0.1371%, 933794, 93.3794% 135, 1388, 0.1388%, 935182, 93.5182% 136, 1274, 0.1274%, 936456, 93.6456% 137, 1197, 0.1197%, 937653, 93.7653% 138, 1291, 0.1291%, 938944, 93.8944% 139, 1214, 0.1214%, 940158, 94.0158% 140, 1295, 0.1295%, 941453, 94.1453% 141, 1161, 0.1161%, 942614, 94.2614% 142, 1137, 0.1137%, 943751, 94.3751% 143, 1188, 0.1188%, 944939, 94.4939% 144, 1135, 0.1135%, 946074, 94.6074% 145, 1025, 0.1025%, 947099, 94.7099% 146, 1012, 0.1012%, 948111, 94.8111% 147, 991, 0.0991%, 949102, 94.9102% 148, 989, 0.0989%, 950091, 95.0091% 149, 1001, 0.1001%, 951092, 95.1092% 150, 994, 0.0994%, 952086, 95.2086% 151, 990, 0.0990%, 953076, 95.3076% 152, 975, 0.0975%, 954051, 95.4051% 153, 946, 0.0946%, 954997, 95.4997% 154, 879, 0.0879%, 955876, 95.5876% 155, 886, 0.0886%, 956762, 95.6762% 156, 892, 0.0892%, 957654, 95.7654% 157, 840, 0.0840%, 958494, 95.8494% 158, 861, 0.0861%, 959355, 95.9355% 159, 802, 0.0802%, 960157, 96.0157% 160, 817, 0.0817%, 960974, 96.0974% 161, 801, 0.0801%, 961775, 96.1775% 162, 781, 0.0781%, 962556, 96.2556% 163, 773, 0.0773%, 963329, 96.3329% 164, 729, 0.0729%, 964058, 96.4058% 165, 735, 0.0735%, 964793, 96.4793% 166, 651, 0.0651%, 965444, 96.5444% 167, 675, 0.0675%, 966119, 96.6119% 168, 649, 0.0649%, 966768, 96.6768% 169, 662, 0.0662%, 967430, 96.7430% 170, 689, 0.0689%, 968119, 96.8119% 171, 645, 0.0645%, 968764, 96.8764% 172, 614, 0.0614%, 969378, 96.9378% 173, 637, 0.0637%, 970015, 97.0015% 174, 598, 0.0598%, 970613, 97.0613% 175, 557, 0.0557%, 971170, 97.1170% 176, 566, 0.0566%, 971736, 97.1736% 177, 563, 0.0563%, 972299, 97.2299% 178, 557, 0.0557%, 972856, 97.2856% 179, 552, 0.0552%, 973408, 97.3408% 180, 541, 0.0541%, 973949, 97.3949% 181, 473, 0.0473%, 974422, 97.4422% 182, 507, 0.0507%, 974929, 97.4929% 183, 508, 0.0508%, 975437, 97.5437% 184, 536, 0.0536%, 975973, 97.5973% 185, 475, 0.0475%, 976448, 97.6448% 186, 463, 0.0463%, 976911, 97.6911% 187, 485, 0.0485%, 977396, 97.7396% 188, 420, 0.0420%, 977816, 97.7816% 189, 434, 0.0434%, 978250, 97.8250% 190, 448, 0.0448%, 978698, 97.8698% 191, 437, 0.0437%, 979135, 97.9135% 192, 436, 0.0436%, 979571, 97.9571% 193, 418, 0.0418%, 979989, 97.9989% 194, 401, 0.0401%, 980390, 98.0390% 195, 405, 0.0405%, 980795, 98.0795% 196, 404, 0.0404%, 981199, 98.1199% 197, 349, 0.0349%, 981548, 98.1548% 198, 375, 0.0375%, 981923, 98.1923% 199, 365, 0.0365%, 982288, 98.2288% 200, 361, 0.0361%, 982649, 98.2649% 201, 352, 0.0352%, 983001, 98.3001% 202, 332, 0.0332%, 983333, 98.3333% 203, 316, 0.0316%, 983649, 98.3649% 204, 297, 0.0297%, 983946, 98.3946% 205, 316, 0.0316%, 984262, 98.4262% 206, 316, 0.0316%, 984578, 98.4578% 207, 291, 0.0291%, 984869, 98.4869% 208, 303, 0.0303%, 985172, 98.5172% 209, 328, 0.0328%, 985500, 98.5500% 210, 278, 0.0278%, 985778, 98.5778% 211, 283, 0.0283%, 986061, 98.6061% 212, 237, 0.0237%, 986298, 98.6298% 213, 249, 0.0249%, 986547, 98.6547% 214, 256, 0.0256%, 986803, 98.6803% 215, 251, 0.0251%, 987054, 98.7054% 216, 263, 0.0263%, 987317, 98.7317% 217, 232, 0.0232%, 987549, 98.7549% 218, 212, 0.0212%, 987761, 98.7761% 219, 266, 0.0266%, 988027, 98.8027% 220, 227, 0.0227%, 988254, 98.8254% 221, 212, 0.0212%, 988466, 98.8466% 222, 221, 0.0221%, 988687, 98.8687% 223, 212, 0.0212%, 988899, 98.8899% 224, 210, 0.0210%, 989109, 98.9109% 225, 210, 0.0210%, 989319, 98.9319% 226, 213, 0.0213%, 989532, 98.9532% 227, 215, 0.0215%, 989747, 98.9747% 228, 197, 0.0197%, 989944, 98.9944% 229, 177, 0.0177%, 990121, 99.0121% 230, 206, 0.0206%, 990327, 99.0327% 231, 201, 0.0201%, 990528, 99.0528% 232, 186, 0.0186%, 990714, 99.0714% 233, 175, 0.0175%, 990889, 99.0889% 234, 193, 0.0193%, 991082, 99.1082% 235, 176, 0.0176%, 991258, 99.1258% 236, 171, 0.0171%, 991429, 99.1429% 237, 189, 0.0189%, 991618, 99.1618% 238, 182, 0.0182%, 991800, 99.1800% 239, 146, 0.0146%, 991946, 99.1946% 240, 176, 0.0176%, 992122, 99.2122% 241, 154, 0.0154%, 992276, 99.2276% 242, 142, 0.0142%, 992418, 99.2418% 243, 162, 0.0162%, 992580, 99.2580% 244, 156, 0.0156%, 992736, 99.2736% 245, 150, 0.0150%, 992886, 99.2886% 246, 132, 0.0132%, 993018, 99.3018% 247, 124, 0.0124%, 993142, 99.3142% 248, 110, 0.0110%, 993252, 99.3252% 249, 136, 0.0136%, 993388, 99.3388% 250, 155, 0.0155%, 993543, 99.3543% 251, 125, 0.0125%, 993668, 99.3668% 252, 126, 0.0126%, 993794, 99.3794% 253, 120, 0.0120%, 993914, 99.3914% 254, 128, 0.0128%, 994042, 99.4042% 255, 107, 0.0107%, 994149, 99.4149% 256, 129, 0.0129%, 994278, 99.4278% 257, 109, 0.0109%, 994387, 99.4387% 258, 124, 0.0124%, 994511, 99.4511% 259, 100, 0.0100%, 994611, 99.4611% 260, 103, 0.0103%, 994714, 99.4714% 261, 108, 0.0108%, 994822, 99.4822% 262, 108, 0.0108%, 994930, 99.4930% 263, 100, 0.0100%, 995030, 99.5030% 264, 93, 0.0093%, 995123, 99.5123% 265, 99, 0.0099%, 995222, 99.5222% 266, 108, 0.0108%, 995330, 99.5330% 267, 61, 0.0061%, 995391, 99.5391% 268, 99, 0.0099%, 995490, 99.5490% 269, 92, 0.0092%, 995582, 99.5582% 270, 90, 0.0090%, 995672, 99.5672% 271, 85, 0.0085%, 995757, 99.5757% 272, 99, 0.0099%, 995856, 99.5856% 273, 66, 0.0066%, 995922, 99.5922% 274, 93, 0.0093%, 996015, 99.6015% 275, 102, 0.0102%, 996117, 99.6117% 276, 64, 0.0064%, 996181, 99.6181% 277, 74, 0.0074%, 996255, 99.6255% 278, 84, 0.0084%, 996339, 99.6339% 279, 70, 0.0070%, 996409, 99.6409% 280, 76, 0.0076%, 996485, 99.6485% 281, 77, 0.0077%, 996562, 99.6562% 282, 74, 0.0074%, 996636, 99.6636% 283, 69, 0.0069%, 996705, 99.6705% 284, 72, 0.0072%, 996777, 99.6777% 285, 52, 0.0052%, 996829, 99.6829% 286, 85, 0.0085%, 996914, 99.6914% 287, 50, 0.0050%, 996964, 99.6964% 288, 56, 0.0056%, 997020, 99.7020% 289, 44, 0.0044%, 997064, 99.7064% 290, 64, 0.0064%, 997128, 99.7128% 291, 58, 0.0058%, 997186, 99.7186% 292, 37, 0.0037%, 997223, 99.7223% 293, 57, 0.0057%, 997280, 99.7280% 294, 58, 0.0058%, 997338, 99.7338% 295, 63, 0.0063%, 997401, 99.7401% 296, 63, 0.0063%, 997464, 99.7464% 297, 56, 0.0056%, 997520, 99.7520% 298, 44, 0.0044%, 997564, 99.7564% 299, 42, 0.0042%, 997606, 99.7606% 300, 59, 0.0059%, 997665, 99.7665% 301, 46, 0.0046%, 997711, 99.7711% 302, 44, 0.0044%, 997755, 99.7755% 303, 37, 0.0037%, 997792, 99.7792% 304, 60, 0.0060%, 997852, 99.7852% 305, 43, 0.0043%, 997895, 99.7895% 306, 49, 0.0049%, 997944, 99.7944% 307, 31, 0.0031%, 997975, 99.7975% 308, 42, 0.0042%, 998017, 99.8017% 309, 49, 0.0049%, 998066, 99.8066% 310, 37, 0.0037%, 998103, 99.8103% 311, 41, 0.0041%, 998144, 99.8144% 312, 34, 0.0034%, 998178, 99.8178% 313, 45, 0.0045%, 998223, 99.8223% 314, 32, 0.0032%, 998255, 99.8255% 315, 32, 0.0032%, 998287, 99.8287% 316, 39, 0.0039%, 998326, 99.8326% 317, 32, 0.0032%, 998358, 99.8358% 318, 24, 0.0024%, 998382, 99.8382% 319, 34, 0.0034%, 998416, 99.8416% 320, 41, 0.0041%, 998457, 99.8457% 321, 26, 0.0026%, 998483, 99.8483% 322, 28, 0.0028%, 998511, 99.8511% 323, 34, 0.0034%, 998545, 99.8545% 324, 44, 0.0044%, 998589, 99.8589% 325, 24, 0.0024%, 998613, 99.8613% 326, 33, 0.0033%, 998646, 99.8646% 327, 26, 0.0026%, 998672, 99.8672% 328, 25, 0.0025%, 998697, 99.8697% 329, 15, 0.0015%, 998712, 99.8712% 330, 21, 0.0021%, 998733, 99.8733% 331, 28, 0.0028%, 998761, 99.8761% 332, 18, 0.0018%, 998779, 99.8779% 333, 20, 0.0020%, 998799, 99.8799% 334, 23, 0.0023%, 998822, 99.8822% 335, 28, 0.0028%, 998850, 99.8850% 336, 24, 0.0024%, 998874, 99.8874% 337, 25, 0.0025%, 998899, 99.8899% 338, 24, 0.0024%, 998923, 99.8923% 339, 22, 0.0022%, 998945, 99.8945% 340, 20, 0.0020%, 998965, 99.8965% 341, 21, 0.0021%, 998986, 99.8986% 342, 10, 0.0010%, 998996, 99.8996% 343, 21, 0.0021%, 999017, 99.9017% 344, 17, 0.0017%, 999034, 99.9034% 345, 19, 0.0019%, 999053, 99.9053% 346, 18, 0.0018%, 999071, 99.9071% 347, 20, 0.0020%, 999091, 99.9091% 348, 20, 0.0020%, 999111, 99.9111% 349, 13, 0.0013%, 999124, 99.9124% 350, 15, 0.0015%, 999139, 99.9139% 351, 15, 0.0015%, 999154, 99.9154% 352, 14, 0.0014%, 999168, 99.9168% 353, 14, 0.0014%, 999182, 99.9182% 354, 13, 0.0013%, 999195, 99.9195% 355, 12, 0.0012%, 999207, 99.9207% 356, 11, 0.0011%, 999218, 99.9218% 357, 14, 0.0014%, 999232, 99.9232% 358, 9, 0.0009%, 999241, 99.9241% 359, 14, 0.0014%, 999255, 99.9255% 360, 16, 0.0016%, 999271, 99.9271% 361, 13, 0.0013%, 999284, 99.9284% 362, 17, 0.0017%, 999301, 99.9301% 363, 18, 0.0018%, 999319, 99.9319% 364, 12, 0.0012%, 999331, 99.9331% 365, 11, 0.0011%, 999342, 99.9342% 366, 11, 0.0011%, 999353, 99.9353% 367, 12, 0.0012%, 999365, 99.9365% 368, 11, 0.0011%, 999376, 99.9376% 369, 12, 0.0012%, 999388, 99.9388% 370, 14, 0.0014%, 999402, 99.9402% 371, 14, 0.0014%, 999416, 99.9416% 372, 17, 0.0017%, 999433, 99.9433% 373, 13, 0.0013%, 999446, 99.9446% 374, 10, 0.0010%, 999456, 99.9456% 375, 10, 0.0010%, 999466, 99.9466% 376, 12, 0.0012%, 999478, 99.9478% 377, 10, 0.0010%, 999488, 99.9488% 378, 14, 0.0014%, 999502, 99.9502% 379, 11, 0.0011%, 999513, 99.9513% 380, 10, 0.0010%, 999523, 99.9523% 381, 11, 0.0011%, 999534, 99.9534% 382, 7, 0.0007%, 999541, 99.9541% 383, 13, 0.0013%, 999554, 99.9554% 384, 8, 0.0008%, 999562, 99.9562% 385, 7, 0.0007%, 999569, 99.9569% 386, 8, 0.0008%, 999577, 99.9577% 387, 8, 0.0008%, 999585, 99.9585% 388, 9, 0.0009%, 999594, 99.9594% 389, 3, 0.0003%, 999597, 99.9597% 390, 9, 0.0009%, 999606, 99.9606% 391, 7, 0.0007%, 999613, 99.9613% 392, 16, 0.0016%, 999629, 99.9629% 393, 4, 0.0004%, 999633, 99.9633% 394, 7, 0.0007%, 999640, 99.9640% 395, 3, 0.0003%, 999643, 99.9643% 396, 2, 0.0002%, 999645, 99.9645% 397, 14, 0.0014%, 999659, 99.9659% 398, 6, 0.0006%, 999665, 99.9665% 399, 6, 0.0006%, 999671, 99.9671% 400, 4, 0.0004%, 999675, 99.9675% 401, 7, 0.0007%, 999682, 99.9682% 402, 8, 0.0008%, 999690, 99.9690% 403, 10, 0.0010%, 999700, 99.9700% 404, 8, 0.0008%, 999708, 99.9708% 405, 5, 0.0005%, 999713, 99.9713% 406, 8, 0.0008%, 999721, 99.9721% 407, 3, 0.0003%, 999724, 99.9724% 408, 6, 0.0006%, 999730, 99.9730% 409, 11, 0.0011%, 999741, 99.9741% 410, 2, 0.0002%, 999743, 99.9743% 411, 7, 0.0007%, 999750, 99.9750% 412, 6, 0.0006%, 999756, 99.9756% 413, 3, 0.0003%, 999759, 99.9759% 414, 4, 0.0004%, 999763, 99.9763% 415, 5, 0.0005%, 999768, 99.9768% 416, 6, 0.0006%, 999774, 99.9774% 417, 5, 0.0005%, 999779, 99.9779% 418, 5, 0.0005%, 999784, 99.9784% 419, 3, 0.0003%, 999787, 99.9787% 420, 6, 0.0006%, 999793, 99.9793% 421, 2, 0.0002%, 999795, 99.9795% 422, 12, 0.0012%, 999807, 99.9807% 423, 4, 0.0004%, 999811, 99.9811% 424, 2, 0.0002%, 999813, 99.9813% 425, 4, 0.0004%, 999817, 99.9817% 426, 3, 0.0003%, 999820, 99.9820% 427, 7, 0.0007%, 999827, 99.9827% 428, 5, 0.0005%, 999832, 99.9832% 429, 5, 0.0005%, 999837, 99.9837% 430, 4, 0.0004%, 999841, 99.9841% 431, 4, 0.0004%, 999845, 99.9845% 432, 3, 0.0003%, 999848, 99.9848% 433, 2, 0.0002%, 999850, 99.9850% 434, 6, 0.0006%, 999856, 99.9856% 435, 4, 0.0004%, 999860, 99.9860% 436, 3, 0.0003%, 999863, 99.9863% 437, 2, 0.0002%, 999865, 99.9865% 438, 4, 0.0004%, 999869, 99.9869% 439, 1, 0.0001%, 999870, 99.9870% 440, 3, 0.0003%, 999873, 99.9873% 441, 6, 0.0006%, 999879, 99.9879% 442, 0, 0% , , 0% 443, 2, 0.0002%, 999881, 99.9881% 444, 1, 0.0001%, 999882, 99.9882% 445, 6, 0.0006%, 999888, 99.9888% 446, 1, 0.0001%, 999889, 99.9889% 447, 4, 0.0004%, 999893, 99.9893% 448, 1, 0.0001%, 999894, 99.9894% 449, 5, 0.0005%, 999899, 99.9899% 450, 3, 0.0003%, 999902, 99.9902% 451, 2, 0.0002%, 999904, 99.9904% 452, 3, 0.0003%, 999907, 99.9907% 453, 4, 0.0004%, 999911, 99.9911% 454, 1, 0.0001%, 999912, 99.9912% 455, 4, 0.0004%, 999916, 99.9916% 456, 0, 0% , , 0% 457, 1, 0.0001%, 999917, 99.9917% 458, 4, 0.0004%, 999921, 99.9921% 459, 2, 0.0002%, 999923, 99.9923% 460, 1, 0.0001%, 999924, 99.9924% 461, 0, 0% , , 0% 462, 1, 0.0001%, 999925, 99.9925% 463, 1, 0.0001%, 999926, 99.9926% 464, 0, 0% , , 0% 465, 1, 0.0001%, 999927, 99.9927% 466, 3, 0.0003%, 999930, 99.9930% 467, 1, 0.0001%, 999931, 99.9931% 468, 0, 0% , , 0% 469, 1, 0.0001%, 999932, 99.9932% 470, 1, 0.0001%, 999933, 99.9933% 471, 3, 0.0003%, 999936, 99.9936% 472, 1, 0.0001%, 999937, 99.9937% 473, 0, 0% , , 0% 474, 3, 0.0003%, 999940, 99.9940% 475, 1, 0.0001%, 999941, 99.9941% 476, 1, 0.0001%, 999942, 99.9942% 477, 0, 0% , , 0% 478, 3, 0.0003%, 999945, 99.9945% 479, 1, 0.0001%, 999946, 99.9946% 480, 2, 0.0002%, 999948, 99.9948% 481, 1, 0.0001%, 999949, 99.9949% 482, 2, 0.0002%, 999951, 99.9951% 483, 2, 0.0002%, 999953, 99.9953% 484, 0, 0% , , 0% 485, 0, 0% , , 0% 486, 0, 0% , , 0% 487, 2, 0.0002%, 999955, 99.9955% 488, 0, 0% , , 0% 489, 4, 0.0004%, 999959, 99.9959% 490, 1, 0.0001%, 999960, 99.9960% 491, 1, 0.0001%, 999961, 99.9961% 492, 1, 0.0001%, 999962, 99.9962% 493, 1, 0.0001%, 999963, 99.9963% 494, 0, 0% , , 0% 495, 1, 0.0001%, 999964, 99.9964% 496, 1, 0.0001%, 999965, 99.9965% 497, 0, 0% , , 0% 498, 1, 0.0001%, 999966, 99.9966% 499, 1, 0.0001%, 999967, 99.9967% 500, 0, 0% , , 0% 501, 1, 0.0001%, 999968, 99.9968% 502, 2, 0.0002%, 999970, 99.9970% 503, 0, 0% , , 0% 504, 1, 0.0001%, 999971, 99.9971% 505, 0, 0% , , 0% 506, 0, 0% , , 0% 507, 0, 0% , , 0% 508, 1, 0.0001%, 999972, 99.9972% 509, 0, 0% , , 0% 510, 0, 0% , , 0% 511, 0, 0% , , 0% 512, 0, 0% , , 0% 513, 0, 0% , , 0% 514, 0, 0% , , 0% 515, 1, 0.0001%, 999973, 99.9973% 516, 0, 0% , , 0% 517, 0, 0% , , 0% 518, 1, 0.0001%, 999974, 99.9974% 519, 0, 0% , , 0% 520, 0, 0% , , 0% 521, 0, 0% , , 0% 522, 0, 0% , , 0% 523, 0, 0% , , 0% 524, 1, 0.0001%, 999975, 99.9975% 525, 0, 0% , , 0% 526, 0, 0% , , 0% 527, 0, 0% , , 0% 528, 0, 0% , , 0% 529, 0, 0% , , 0% 530, 1, 0.0001%, 999976, 99.9976% 531, 0, 0% , , 0% 532, 0, 0% , , 0% 533, 0, 0% , , 0% 534, 2, 0.0002%, 999978, 99.9978% 535, 1, 0.0001%, 999979, 99.9979% 536, 1, 0.0001%, 999980, 99.9980% 537, 0, 0% , , 0% 538, 1, 0.0001%, 999981, 99.9981% 539, 1, 0.0001%, 999982, 99.9982% 540, 0, 0% , , 0% 541, 1, 0.0001%, 999983, 99.9983% 542, 1, 0.0001%, 999984, 99.9984% 543, 0, 0% , , 0% 544, 0, 0% , , 0% 545, 0, 0% , , 0% 546, 0, 0% , , 0% 547, 0, 0% , , 0% 548, 0, 0% , , 0% 549, 0, 0% , , 0% 550, 1, 0.0001%, 999985, 99.9985% 551, 0, 0% , , 0% 552, 0, 0% , , 0% 553, 2, 0.0002%, 999987, 99.9987% 554, 0, 0% , , 0% 555, 0, 0% , , 0% 556, 0, 0% , , 0% 557, 1, 0.0001%, 999988, 99.9988% 558, 0, 0% , , 0% 559, 1, 0.0001%, 999989, 99.9989% 560, 0, 0% , , 0% 561, 1, 0.0001%, 999990, 99.9990% 562, 0, 0% , , 0% 563, 0, 0% , , 0% 564, 1, 0.0001%, 999991, 99.9991% 565, 0, 0% , , 0% 566, 0, 0% , , 0% 567, 2, 0.0002%, 999993, 99.9993% 568, 0, 0% , , 0% 569, 0, 0% , , 0% 570, 0, 0% , , 0% 571, 0, 0% , , 0% 572, 0, 0% , , 0% 573, 0, 0% , , 0% 574, 0, 0% , , 0% 575, 0, 0% , , 0% 576, 1, 0.0001%, 999994, 99.9994% 577, 1, 0.0001%, 999995, 99.9995% 578, 0, 0% , , 0% 579, 0, 0% , , 0% 580, 0, 0% , , 0% 581, 0, 0% , , 0% 582, 0, 0% , , 0% 583, 1, 0.0001%, 999996, 99.9996% 584, 0, 0% , , 0% 585, 0, 0% , , 0% 586, 0, 0% , , 0% 587, 0, 0% , , 0% 588, 0, 0% , , 0% 589, 0, 0% , , 0% 590, 0, 0% , , 0% 591, 0, 0% , , 0% 592, 0, 0% , , 0% 593, 0, 0% , , 0% 594, 0, 0% , , 0% 595, 1, 0.0001%, 999997, 99.9997% 596, 0, 0% , , 0% 597, 0, 0% , , 0% 598, 0, 0% , , 0% 599, 0, 0% , , 0% 600, 1, 0.0001%, 999998, 99.9998% 601, 0, 0% , , 0% 602, 0, 0% , , 0% 603, 0, 0% , , 0% 604, 0, 0% , , 0% 605, 0, 0% , , 0% 606, 1, 0.0001%, 999999, 99.9999% 607, 0, 0% , , 0% 608, 0, 0% , , 0% 609, 0, 0% , , 0% 610, 0, 0% , , 0% 611, 0, 0% , , 0% 612, 0, 0% , , 0% 613, 0, 0% , , 0% 614, 0, 0% , , 0% 615, 1, 0.0001%, 1000000, 100.0000% acquirer: 1,000,000 number of trials: 49,915,914